Sunday, June 14, 2009

Choosing the Right Battle Strategy

Op-ed, The Irrawaddy, Saturday, June 13, 2009

Choosing the Right Battle Strategy

by MIN ZIN


Aung San Suu Kyi should view her trial as a political battle and not a legal one, and take strategic advantage of it.

By picking the right battle strategy, David was able to strike down Goliath with a slingshot and use his powerful sword to slay the giant. The rule of thumb is to choose fighting strength against weakness, and not strength against strength.

The regime's weakness lies on its international flank, especially its regional neighbors. The junta is also sensitive to the opinions of military officers and rank and file. These are the targets the Lady must hit repeatedly and relentlessly.

Aung San Suu Kyi believes that political integrity (i.e. "plain honesty in politics") is one of the most important virtues. She and many others regard the political integrity she upholds persistently as her strength. Perfect armor!

However, she has to comprehend the strength of her captors, too. The Lady cannot pick or prolong the battle within the junta's institutions, including the legal system, which is one of the most corrupted instruments serving the perpetuation of the regime.

As a serial liar and rule-breaker, the junta knows well how to manipulate its institutions against Suu Kyi and other opponents. Force and fraud are their strength.

This strength must be continuously exposed internationally as well as to a domestic public, especially to the military rank and file. But it might not be the battle front the Lady wants to open.

Confronting the strength of the regime straight on, as the opposition has mostly done in past, will end up in another defeat. The asymmetrical power relationship is evidential.

Suu Kyi’s trial is another test of the opposition's strategic caliber. In fact, the trial is widely believed to be a sham. The verdict has already been reached in Snr-Gen Than Shwe's mind.

Although Suu Kyi’s latest, six-year term of house arrest ended in May, the regime's supremo is still afraid of freeing her to the embrace of her supporters and the public at large.

The 63-year-old Nobel laureate faces a maximum prison sentence of five years. She could be condemned to prison or sent home for a further term of house arrest.

Whatever the terms of her incarceration, it is clear that the regime’s aim is to confine her until it has secured victory in the 2010 general election.

This is a political battle ground. That's why the trial has drawn international condemnation, including from the Association of Southeast Asia Nations (Asean). The group warned the regime that "the honor and credibility of the Government of the Union of Myanmar are at stake".

Even Goh Chok Tong, a staunch ally of the regime and a former prime minister of Singapore, told Than Shwe during talks in Naypyidaw earlier this month that the trial has an international dimension.

Thus, the Lady must see the trial as a political battle. Instead of prolonging the trial, she must let the sham process get done and receive the prison sentence. That will intensify political battles in the international arena, including the UN Security Council and regional players.

The regime will no doubt face domestic challenges, too. The opposition National League for Democracy must also lead the political battle, instead of waiting for the result of the show trial.

If Suu Kyi allows the trial to drag on, she will give the regime a chance to project the impression of openness and due legal process. In fact, the junta has already derived advantage from Suu Kyi's appeal for four defense witnesses to be heard.

The lower District Court earlier disqualified all but one defense witness, but the Rangoon Divisional Court later ruled that a second witness could give testimony. With this concession, the junta might be quite satisfied in projecting the impression of a fair and independent legal process, though that will not have any effect on its final script.

More importantly, the protraction of the trial could reduce interest in the international media, as well as diplomatic pressures. Momentum always amasses two important sources of capital, which strategically-minded politicians should not squander—good timing and political good will.

That is why the court’s decision on Friday to postpone the trial until June 26 in order to hear the testimony of a Suu Kyi’s defense witness is not a good sign. In fact, Suu Kyi's lawyers requested the further adjournment since the defense witness has to come to court from southern Shan State, in the northeastern part of Burma.

Suu Kyi instructed her lawyers to continue the appeals process to allow more defense witnesses to be heard in the case as she wants "to see it through to the end as the ruling is legally wrong."

If the High Court upholds the lower courts' decision, the special court in Insein Prison may set a date sometime in July in which to deliver the verdict. The regime could still delay the verdict in order to ride out international pressure.

But the cause of any delay should not rest with the Lady.

If Suu Kyi and the NLD fail to distinguish between a political battle and a legal fight, and unless they focus more on the former, they will lose the momentum. Engaging in a lengthy legal battle will not yield any political outcome except the exhaustion of strategic capital.

In a clever move, Suu Kyi told diplomats who attended one session of her trial: "There could be many opportunities for national reconciliation if all parties so wished," according to a statement by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Singapore, whose ambassador was among those who met her on May 20.

The statement said that she also "expressed the view that it was not too late for something good to come out of this unfortunate incident," referring to her trial. "She did not wish to use the intrusion into her home as a way to get at the Burma authorities," read the statement.

The statement represented a political offensive and displayed her strength, something the NLD should exploit. The NLD party should, for instance, have released an official statement supporting Goh's recent comments and Asean's "grave concern," and citing Suu Kyi's words to demonstrate the opposition's readiness for national reconciliation.

The goal must be to amass international and domestic public support and materialize it in the UN Security Council, Asean, China, and on the streets of Burma.

Suu Kyi can, of course, continue her legal battle, even after she is sentenced. But the focus must be to reap political advantage. The momentum should not be diminished.

The political battle must be renewed and the regime’s Achilles' heel must be located and attacked.

Min Zin is a Burmese journalist in exile and a teaching fellow at the University of California, Berkeley, School of Journalism.

http://www.irrawaddy.org/opinion_story.php?art_id=15967

17 comments:

隨緣 said...

很棒的分享~~~來留個言囉~~~~ ........................................

春天來嚕 said...

若對自己誠實,日積月累,就無法對別人不忠了。........................................

怡如 said...

18havno185st成人片0204aaaaaaa片俱樂部免費影片欣賞aaaaa7777788卡提諾成人成人 影片日本卡通野球拳日本卡通色情網日本卡通h漫日本卡通少女日本女藝人圖片網站日本女傭a片日本女優名字日本女優圖庫日本女優姓名日本女優寶貝視訊 辣妹打手槍凹凸電影院線上免費看影片微風成人情色 網微風成人sex999免費影片情色聊天松島楓免費影片a383girl影音城維克斯成人999無瑪試看圖av影片下載網際論壇情色小站曼雪兒黃色小說曼雪兒色 f 情小說曼雪兒色情免費小說曼雪兒色情小說曼雪兒色情文章

佩璇 said...

成人色情圖片激情聊天室火辣美眉520sex赤裸美女成人自拍貼圖18限性影片觀賞av色情影音聊天手淫激情成人聊天室成人色情圖片網sex520自拍走光照片淫慾18禁成人影音聊天美女台灣性網限制級女生手淫成人聊天春宮裙底風光情趣丁字褲極度震撼情色論壇露點成人視訊聊天avlive show愛愛明星露點台灣色情網站自慰少婦成人聊天網美女視訊成人頻道人妻熟女蕩婦一對多激情成人色情聊天室av成人上空秀巨奶視訊網愛聊天室一夜正妹色情貼片一對多免費美女視訊粉紅乳頭作愛影片美女聊天sexy成人色情圖片網女人胸部圖片視訊色情情色網站性關係辣妹聊天室大奶子

v辰原 said...

Unable to give you a heart. so have a reply to push up your post. ........................................

黃郁順 said...

淫亂火辣美女本土av情色視訊聊天免費色情網站性經驗色情成人影片色情視訊聊天av圖av情色情趣娃娃成人電影院淫蕩18禁色情電話情色成人網辣妹自拍台灣av女優台灣情色春宮台灣色情成人網站0401影音g點成人vcd情色影片520sex性愛圖視訊妹調情視訊美女聊天美女性交台灣性樂園成人影像走光打砲裸女寫真美女裸照露奶激突論壇情色圖片做愛線上a片做愛視訊情色成人成人交友穿幫色情a片情色全裸入鏡台灣情色網

劉WileyMares said...

cool blog,期待更新........................................

雲亨 said...

如果相遇.你會感到相知.那麼.有一種習慣叫做陪伴;如果陪伴.你會感到珍惜.那麼.有一種甜蜜叫做存在!.........................

秀吉 said...

t 台灣藝術台辣妹有約 辣妹情色視訊 辣妹性感 辣妹影音聊天網 聊天室環球辣妹34c聊天室 辣妹亞洲成人圖片區 辣妹有約溫泉 辣妹性愛文學 辣妹哈啦聊天室 辣妹貼圖a片天堂 辣妹自拍偷拍 辣妹聊天室 90691比基尼辣妹影片 超性感辣妹 視訊情人辣妹080 視訊辣妹援交女 視訊辣妹援交 視訊辣妹自慰 視訊辣妹34c甜心寶貝直播貼片 視訊辣妹080 視訊辣妹,成人,嘉義視訊 aio性感辣妹34c甜心寶貝貼片 aio辣妹交友愛情館 aaio辣妹視訊 比基尼av辣妹影片 辣妹聊天室90691 辣妹影音 辣妹貼圖站 本土美少女辣妹貼圖 辣妹有約綜藝節目 辣妹貼圖站 辣妹情色網 情色視訊交友辣妹no3 性感辣妹交友 脫衣亞洲辣妹 玩美辣妹有約 環球辣妹聊天室 視訊辣妹34c 辣妹妹影音視訊聊天室 兼職援交友辣妹視訊 高雄辣妹視訊 桃園辣妹視訊 台北辣妹視訊 台中辣妹視訊 名模辣妹聊天室 885cc 85cc成人片試看 85cc女 85cc免費影城85cc免費影城 85cc免費影片觀賞 85cc免費影片短片 85cc自拍 85cc無碼影 85cc 亞洲短片 a交友愛情館影片免費85cc

玄雨 said...

It's great!!..................................................

韋于倫成 said...

Custom makes all things easy~~加油哦........................................

517SeritaG_Jamar0 said...

85成人片免費看 視訊交友vino 一夜情情色聊天 免費觀看影片 視訊交友中心 免費最新女優影片 性感走光照片 免費線上看成人影片 辣妹偷拍貼圖 男女聊天室 愛愛天堂 情趣內衣寫真 18禁成人影城 少女辣妹遊戲18 洪爺影城av 成人卡通a片 情色+貼圖 色情貼圖區 一夜情網站, 383成人 完美女人影音視訊 live 秀 玩美女人國 性感絲襪美女 辣妹交友 人妻自拍裸體 熟南熟女聊天室 a片下載 免費視訊聊天室 a圖裸體女生 天天看正妹美女寫真館 85cc成人長片 免費a片 嘟嘟 997770 台灣情色貼圖 一夜情買援交妹 情人視訊網 鋼管秀視訊 av網站 辣妹自拍 大奶辣妹照片 sex 85cc影片 日本巨乳寫真下載 情色性愛圖貼 後宮電影院 限制級 0204交友 日本性愛影片 洪爺走光自拍照片圖片

HaroldM22 said...

Today is the first day of the rest of your life. ............................................................

慶天 said...

說「吃虧就是便宜的人」,多半不是吃虧的人。 ............................................................

walsha said...

Necessity is the mother of invention.............................................................

EnaT_Bastarache1128 said...

a片性愛av女優性愛台灣性愛自影片性愛巴士線上看sex性愛洪爺線上免費直播免費男同志網免費性圖片免費東洋影片免費的av片免費的片免費的色情卡通免費直撥網免費直撥影片免費直播短片免費長片分享區免費咪咪影片網免費是訊免費洪爺色情免費洪爺色情網免費性愛觀看影片免費性愛影片分享區免費性愛動畫免費男做愛影片免費男影片免費男優免費亞洲影片免費性小說免費性片下載免費性交貼圖成人文學網a18禁女生遊戲區視訊聊天室ut聊天室

雅馨 said...

If the quantity is not a lot, I will hand carry..................................................